Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.190053 0.216459 0.244812 0.277475 0.314015 0.353584 0.399628
2025-12-07 0.152739 0.187559 0.227469 0.276430 0.334695 0.401627 0.484140
2025-12-14 0.126617 0.166046 0.213870 0.275782 0.353413 0.447093 0.568220
2025-12-21 0.107468 0.149531 0.203196 0.276061 0.371698 0.492138 0.654362
2025-12-28 0.094002 0.138006 0.196765 0.280011 0.393773 0.542491 0.750042
2026-01-04 0.084194 0.129823 0.193329 0.286812 0.419256 0.598218 0.855901
2026-01-11 0.074856 0.120908 0.187549 0.289216 0.438145 0.645595 0.952937
2026-01-18 0.067807 0.114355 0.184188 0.294278 0.460533 0.698583 1.060431
2026-01-25 0.062557 0.109831 0.183163 0.302319 0.487346 0.758989 1.181600
2026-02-01 0.056038 0.102423 0.176809 0.301340 0.500076 0.799062 1.274824
2026-02-08 0.050318 0.095612 0.170607 0.299796 0.511387 0.837148 1.366623
2026-02-15 0.045315 0.089409 0.164707 0.298017 0.521831 0.874035 1.458065
2026-02-22 0.042056 0.086091 0.163579 0.304447 0.546650 0.935861 1.593687
2026-03-01 0.038143 0.081088 0.159013 0.304539 0.560847 0.981488 1.706150
2026-03-08 0.034664 0.076476 0.154654 0.304518 0.574672 1.027104 1.820919
2026-03-15 0.031670 0.072443 0.150923 0.305207 0.589594 1.075157 1.942043
2026-03-22 0.029465 0.069737 0.149402 0.309746 0.611500 1.136018 2.087603
2026-03-29 0.027811 0.067983 0.149525 0.317318 0.639265 1.208281 2.256072
2026-04-05 0.025791 0.065176 0.147261 0.320020 0.658078 1.265713 2.401518
2026-04-12 0.024239 0.063222 0.146523 0.325605 0.682554 1.334311 2.569717
2026-04-19 0.023110 0.062099 0.147393 0.334435 0.713706 1.416396 2.765659
2026-04-26 0.021228 0.058949 0.143621 0.333375 0.725404 1.463317 2.900146
2026-05-03 0.019477 0.055885 0.139727 0.331690 0.735633 1.507845 3.032104